Yesterday we saw how the Big East 1st and 2nd All-Conference teams shook out as far as star ratings for the players. We did this to see what recruit rankings were like in our conference peer group. The results for the Big East were; 1st team Offense 3.0 stars; 1st team Defense 2.5 stars; 2nd team defense 2.5 stars and 2nd team Defense 2.6 stars.
Today let’s look at what those same All-Conference teams for the ACC, our future conference, have as far as star values. Again, I used Scout.com for the number of stars assigned to these players as HS seniors. If Scout had the player unranked (UR) then I checked Rivals.com. To make it as fair as possible I used any numerical quantity between Scout & Rivals for the averages. 0/0 scores are walk-ons who weren’t rated at all; these are very rare and in compiling about 164 players only five had that score.
Something to keep in mind here are that the recruiting services give out between two stars and five stars, they do not have a one star designation and as I said the 0* score is extremely rare.
FIRST TEAM
Offense
QB-Tajh Boyd, Clemson (5)
RB-David Wilson, Virginia Tech (4)*
RB-Giovani Bernard, North Carolina (4)
WR-Sammy Watkins, Clemson (5)
WR-Chris Givens, Wake Forest (3)
OT-Blake DeChristopher, Virginia Tech (3)
OT-Zebrie Sanders, Florida State (4)
OG-Austin Pasztor, Virginia (2)
OG-Omoregie Uzzi, Georgia Tech (4)
C-Dalton Freeman, Clemson (4)
TE-Dwayne Allen, Clemson (4)
K-Dustin Hopkins, Florida State (3)
Spec.- T.J. Graham, NC State (3)
3.6 average stars
Defense
DE-Andre Branch, Clemson (2)
DE-Quinton Coples, North Carolina (4)
DT-Joe Vellano, Maryland (2)
DT-Matt Conrath, Virginia (2)
LB-Luke Kuechly, Boston College (3)*
LB-Sean Spence, Miami (4)
LB-Zach Brown, North Carolina (4)
CB-David Amerson, NC State (3)
CB-Chase Minnifield, Virginia (3)
S-Matt Daniels, Duke (3)
S-Josh Bush, Wake Forest (2)
P-Shawn Powell, Florida State (2)
2.8 average stars
SECOND TEAM
Offense
QB-Logan Thomas, Virginia Tech (5)
WR-Dwight Jones, North Carolina (4)
WR-Conner Vernon, Duke (3)
RB-Lamar Miller, Miami (4)
RB-Andre Ellington, Clemson (4)
OT-Oday Aboushi, Virginia (3)
OT-James Hurst, North Carolina (5)
OG-Jaymes Brooks, Virginia Tech (3)
OG-Jonathan Cooper, North Carolina (3)
OG-Joe Looney, Wake Forest (3)
C-Tyler Horn, Miami (2)
TE-George Bryan, NC State (3)
K-Chandler Catanzaro, Clemson (2)
3.3 star average
Defense
DE-Brandon Jenkins, Florida State (4)
DE-James Gayle, Virginia Tech (2)
DT-Brandon Thompson, Clemson (4)
DT-Nikita Whitlock, Wake Forest (2)
LB-Terrell Manning, NC State (4)
LB-Julian Burnett, Georgia Tech (3)
LB-Steve Greer, Virginia (2)
CB-Jayron Hosley, Virginia Tech (3)
CB-Kyle Fuller, Virginia Tech (3)
S-Eddie Whitley, Virginia Tech (3)
S-Lamarcus Joyner, Florida State (5)
P-Alex King, Duke (0/0)
2.9 star average
Here is the comparison between our old and new conference. From this take it shows that the ACC has higher caliber players but I think we all knew that before.
1st Offense BE 3.0 ACC 3.6
1st Defense BE 2.5 ACC 3.3
2nd Offense BE 2.5 ACC 2.8
2nd Defense BE 2.6 ACC 2.9
You are welcome.
Cry Havoc and let loose the statisticians of war!!
So I’ll take the first crack at this list: to compete effectively in a better conference, you need better talent. I think we’ll agree the ACC has been perceived as the stronger conference the last few years. Here that plays itself out via stronger recruiting stats.
Another thing I wanted to discuss is on Saturday Reed wrote, In regards to Beast being a less competitive conference with less skilled players, “the only thing that matters is how that individual player is going to produce for your team with your competition.” Obviously it matters how well your players play in the games that matter. But, that statement ignores the fact that how well they play is a function of the competition they play against. You would never say, all things being equal, I’m going to take a 3* instead of a 5* because he matches up better with the 3* guys in my conference. That’s not how it works. I understand that you may recruit for a certain scheme or package, but I don’t think those strategic choices are the same as picking people based on raw skill and talent.
I think you’re painting too rosy a picture Reed. We shouldn’t be so agnostic about the recruiting rankings, because even though it’s a very noisy metric, it’s one of the best ones we have. I do really appreciate your posts though because they’re starting good discussions. If it wasn’t for your, I’d be studying for finals. That’s not something I want to subject myself to
Pitt’s 4-star QBs over the last decade (by at least 1 rating system) — Rutherford, Palko (Flacco wasn’t), Bostick, and Gonzalez … I assume that Voytik is being that he was an All-American
Hate to take a wishy-washy position on this, but it seems to be the best thing is a little of both.
Yes, 4 and 5’s aren’t guaranteed success, but, if I had my choice of 22 5’s or 22 3’s, c’mon, we don’t need to discuss that.
However, there is a lot to be said of coaching. That’s why they are called coachs. Learning techniques and getting stronger doesn’t end at 12th grade.
I think Coach Chryst has got the players he wants, and I think done an excellent job in a short span.
If he coaches them up, and we win some games, new conference, with some top teams, the players he wants and feels he can get will go higher also.
So, stars aren’t perfect, but, in general, they are a good barometer.
And with saying that, you can never count out the coaches impact on any player, regardless of what star he’s been given.
p.s. Great numbers crunching Reed, interesting stuff!!!
This is preferable to Wanny’s plan of getting 8 raw 4* D-lineman which pumped our recruiting rankings but didn’t translate to success on the field.
Safe to say, that whatever “star” level these guys come in at, our coaches had better prepare thme to play at their peak…I know wanny wasted talent and Fraud was looking to fit square pegs in round holes…I hope Chryst’s sake (I am going to use that till I drop) that his staff makes what the ingredients say they should.
How many days till fall camp?
“I hope for Chryst’s sake the back up is taking snaps!”
LOL
Hail to Pitt!
It’s fun to do and the best part are the respectful conversations we have on here.
Guys – heads up. I’m going to post an article tomorrow asking for topics of interest that you all would like to see written. We have a ton of dead time from now until August camp and I’m sure we want to keep stuff being posted.
It’s much harder to separate an Offensive Guard or a Safety from their peers then it is for these skilled offensive players.
So much for being respectful, huh, Reed???
Ha ha, just having some fun Steve1!!!
Pens are out allready, and the Pirates….well.
Downtime is here!!
In football stars are definitely tied to statistics and size. Like basketball these can be deceiving. I agree with Dan coaching at the high school level especially in both sports, perhaps football even more is at best below average. Fundamentals are rarely taught so a bigger man dominates simply due to his size not his skill.
I never thought Graham was a D1 football coach but I think Chryst is the perfect fit. I wish he was hired after DW things might be different now. I emphasize might because their are few certanties. One Pitt certainty in my opinion is Adams (it is now speculated that Adams is far better than Nolens and Twarski after he dominated both).
My point is that there is so much slush inside the star ranking system, inherent in itself and also in the differences between the three major recruiting sites which sometimes is huge, that it is almost impossible to accurately say “This kid is a sure star in the college level and should be given four stars as opposed to three stars”.
To me the line is almost completely blurred there. Not so much with five star players IMO because the numbers there are so small.
Part of this is what the recruits actually think of the conferences themselves. The Big conferences like the SEC and the Big Ten are highly thought of and more 4* & 5* players want to play for those teams inside those conferences. Right off the bat the Big East has been hampered with that in the past.
I expect that to change with PITT’s entry into the ACC.
Anyway, I wasn’t really trying to say a 3* is always as good as a 4* at all and I don’t think that way. If the staff has two recruits who fit their specific needs and one is a 4* and one is a 3* then naturally I want that 4th star.
But I’m not going to criticize Paul Chryst at all if all he gets are a bulk of 3* kids and wins football games.