I’ve been in a lot of discussions on here and on the message boards regarding whether or not Tino Sunseri is an effective ‘running quarterback’ in Todd Graham’s offense.
I posted on this blog more than once that when I watched PITT’s pre-season practices I was impressed with the way Sunseri took to the required role of a mobile QB who can get yards with his legs in this offense. He really did well at that during the training camps. Then, we get into a disappointing season and fans insist that he’s slow, immobile and can’t run.
But when I looked at our game by game team results and stacked them up against how Sunseri did running with the ball the correlation between his rushing and his passing success, and his rushing and our strong offensive play in those games was pretty evident. Here’s what I saw and commented on earlier:
In three games, Iowa, USF and UCONN, where Sunseri actually has used his run option aggressively, he’s rushed 25 times for 169 yards for a 6.8 ypc average (minus sack yardage) and 2 TDs. Place that up against Ray Graham’s 5.7 ypc this season and you can see how much of a positive it would be to have that on a consistent basis and how it helped in those games.
Also, in those games we scored 27, 44 and 35 points respectively – the highest totals against BCS opponents this year. He also threw for 225 (70% completion rate) , 216 (67%) and 419 yards (69%) in those three games – with 4 TD and 0 INTs.
So, I did a bit of number crunching after my post on the night of the UCONN win, but wanted to get my numbers straight. I’ll put out what I think the reality is and you can look it over and weigh in.
Note that I’m looking at Sunseri’s results through this filter… because Graham requires his running to be a component of this offense there have been a lot of plays where Sunseri has a run play called by staff, runs off his option or – as wbb points out – runs off scrambles when the passing play isn’t there. I want to know what happens when he does that whether it be an ‘official’ statistic or not..
I am subtracting the sack yardage also as I’m trying to get a feel for how he’s done when he has purposefully made the decision to run with the football. From what I can tell by going over the game stats and the play-by-play listings, plays where he’s taken off and run but has gotten stopped for no gain or minus yardage has been listed as a rushing play and not as a sack.
Here goes:
This are his official stats as provided to the NCAA by PITT up until 10/22/11, last Saturday.
|
He was sacked 34 times going into the UCONN game for (-) 210 yards. In that game he was sacked three times for 31 yards which gives him 37 sacks for (-) 241 yards (damn!). Also, against UCONN he rushed 12 times for 40 yards but given the (-) 31 sack yards actually he ran nine times for 71 yards.
By my figuring, convoluted as may be, that gives him 42 rushes for 261 yards carrying a 6.2 ypc average with two TDs on the season.
In comparison, last year Tulsa gave up 23 sacks for 176 yards in 13 games to this year’s PITT giving up 37 for 245 yards in eight games. That is a huge impact to our offense and no wonder we are in absolute last place in this category.
But when doing the same figuring with a QB who exemplifies Graham’s want in mobility, Tulsa’s 2010 QB G.J. Kinne, he ends up with (sacks subtracted) these numbers: 135 carries for 762 yards and a 5.6 ypc average. This is interesting as everyone seems to recognize Kinne as being a “running QB” but not Sunseri.
You can see from the above that Kinne ran with the ball 10 times a game last season. That is what Graham wants his QB to do. Sunseri has run five times a game on average this year. But, in those three games referenced above, Iowa, USF and UCONN, he ran an average of nine times per game… which is why Graham keeps pressuring him to take off with the ball.
If Graham is dead set on his offense having a running QB as a main component, and he is, I wanted to know if Sunseri is delivering on that when he follows the staff’s directions. I say that he is and that is the main reason that Graham went with Sunseri coming out of the spring practices and has stuck with him as the starter and main QB this year.
The fact that TG’s offense is centered on a effective running QB also makes me understand why everyone is so excited about Voytik coming in next year. Comparing him to our other three QBs is pretty telling from a raw talent standpoint.
40 time
Sunseri – 4.76
Anderson – 4.70
Myers – 4.89
Voytik – 4.59
Voytik’s time is more in the range of guys like Robert Griffin (4.52), Darron Thomas (4.58) and Russell Wilson (4.59) than our current QBs’.
His Shuttle (quickness test) speed is 4.28 compared to Anderson’s 4.57. And we think Anderson is quick.
Of course, we’ll have to see how this talent translates to college ball, how well he can throw at a college level, and how quickly he grasps the offense, but the speed factor is exciting. And it’s what TG keeps saying we need more of for true High Octane football at Pitt.
I hope he at least gets a shot at competing for some playing time next year and isn’t automatically relegated to redshirt status because of his late start.
He may be sort of quick when timed in a straight line at practice, but under pressure his mind appears to blank out and he freezes up. This is not uncommon among regular people, but not what your looking for in a high level QB.
How many times in the past two years have we seen him just stop in his tracks as a defender approaches, like a confused chicken when confronted by a fox? Dan Marino and Dan Fouts likely had slow 40 times, but their quick feet in the pocket, great awareness and decision making (not to mention rocket arms), and quick releases almost always got them out of trouble.
In the end, its simply the results, not the measurables or the ‘system’.
Doug Williams, John Elway, and Steve Young were very good running QBs in their earlier years but didn’t win jack until they calmed down and mastered the many other more important aspects of good QB play. IMHO, I don’t believe Tino can do that because he doesn’t have those gears, so we’re wasting our time waiting for him to ‘get to his next level’…as always, hope I’m wrong about that, but don’t think I am sadly.
Give Meyers a shot and open it up for Voytik and everyone else and his brother next year.
Just because your anonymity is preserved here doesn’t mean you have to resort to such disparaging terms especially when defining a 19 or 20 year old.
When Sunseri is quick on the draw a lot of the other negative BS falls away and the offense can actually move the ball.
This is an interesting point in the season for the Pitt offense now. With Ray Graham out the opposing defense has no one left to key on. We’ve lost our big gun and now we absolutely need to “run the system” effectively to be able to utilize the remaining weapons avaiable.
One of those is Tino’s running ability or should I say the QB’s running ability. IMO, he is slow out of the starting gate, especially when he starts “thinking”. If plays can be scripted to simplify this issue and take the thinking part out of the equation, Tino CAN gain yards with his legs and be a weapon to keep things changed up.
An even better option may be to begin utilizing Jones more in various packages to see what he can do on the run, and on top of that, the kid has an arm too with two TDs through the air to his credit this season.
In any case, this offense continues to evolve, now out of necessity. I still think that we can win games w/o Graham in there but we must do it Todd Graham’s way and do it QUICK on every play. Therein lies the advantage. If/when Tino gets that concept through his thick head the faster this offense starts moving the ball better and less sacks will result when the ball is quickly gone from his hand if the called pass play isn’t there.
One more thing … on 3rd down he should try to make a play (sack or not) since throwing the ball away is foolish. I remember 3 or 4 sacks vs Utah (both QBs) were on 3rd down which I feel is justified.
Of note is this: “Most important to the smooth operation of the zone-read is not a quarterback who is blazing fast, but a signal caller who can make the right decision with the ball, and can at least do a little damage with his feet.”
It speaks to what several here have said about Tino’s decision-making, or lack thereof, at times.
Also, the “blazing fast” comment was written before they discovered what Denard Robinson could do in this package. It may not be necessary, but it sure helps.
Plain and simple: there have been too many flashes of good play this year to simply write off Tino as not being able to get it done in this offense.
now the coaching decisions…that’s another issue altogether.
With all the talk about scaling back and simplifying things, I don’t know what true High Octane is supposed to look like. Didn’t see Tulsa much on TV down here.
So is it supposed to be more like read/run/pass and it’s been adjusted to read/run sometimes and just pass other times to accommodate a team made up of kids who primarily played in a pro style offense all of their lives? Who knows? I certainly don’t.
I decided to explore this by a post because so many PITT fans get caught up in the label “Running Quarterback” and they think that he has to be a Pat White, Denard Robinson type player and they just can’t wrap thier mind around the fact that, for this offense, a QB with running ability fits the bill. they scream to high heaven that Sunseri can’t move the ball with his legs at all when we’ve seen him do it.
But I disagree with Matt N. a bit and say that Graham wants a player that both keeps the run uppermost in his mind and then actually executes it competently. Our only real success offensively has been when our QB has done that. That is strikingly obvious.
Perhaps now that Ray Graham is out it will sink in with Sunseri that we really need him to play QB like he did in those Iowa, USF & UCONN games and help with the run as much as the pass. We may end up depending on it.
I never get caught up in the ‘skill’ stats and player’s times because they are all geared toward what potentials the kid might have and way too often we see that the individual skills don’t come together to produce results at practice or on game day.
Here is a good case in point and this is a true story – a few years ago DW’s staff broke things up with an “Olympic Sports” type session were all the kids competed against each other in certain events for fun during an afternoon. Pat Bostick came in second…yes, second. Dorin Dickerson was first. So 40 times, high jump, etc. don’t really excite me. I will point a lot to statistics of what already transpired in play though as that is a much better indicator.
I guess I’m saying this because Mark Myers is a talented kid in a lot of ways and did run hurdles, etc in High School. But when it came to producing results in this offense in the spring and summer camps he didn’t rise above third string and that was a legitimate placing by the staff. He just couldn’t make things happen with his legs the way Graham wants his QB to.
If Graham wanted a QB out there where one ability, either the pass or the run, was dominate then I’d be writing that Anthony Gonzalez should be getting PT. His pure running ability is the best of all four guys. Just as Myers’s pure passing is the best of all four.
Now, I also get upset when people write that Mark Myers stinks because that just isn’t the case either. Perhaps my writings about him lead some people to infer that and that isn’t what I mean at all and I apologize if it seems that way. The kid has a lot of talent but his strengths and weaknesses just don’t translate to what Graham wants out there for now and , especially I believe, for the future. Put it this way… Trey Anderson wouldn’t be able to compete in DW’s system just as Myers has had a tough time competing in this one… But Myers should have been starting over Sunseri this season had DW not been fired.
I agree that the gameday coaching has been pretty poor. I scratch my head at three of four decisions a game.
My problem with this slavish devotion to coach Graham’s system: what good teams has he beaten yet in his career? ND was pretty weak last year, like they have been since Holtz left…and he beat up on Conference USA or whoever for a few years…great. Did he ever beat Texas, or Auburn, or USC, or even Texas Tech, or UNC?
Not knocking the guy as Tulsa and Rice clearly didn’t have A level recruits, but why does his ‘system’ get an automatic pass when he’s never had a big win?! Correct me if he has…but it seems Boise and Texas Tech, and some other similar schools have more to crow about than Tulsa ever did…despite gaudy statistics.
It was clearly time for Wanny to go and I wish Graham great success, but not sure why so many posters on this site give the guy an unqualified pass to do whatever the hell he wants and implement his ‘system’ despite the talent on hand, like he’s Pete Carroll or Jim Harbaugh.
Go beat Oregon and Washington 4 years in a row and then you can implement your ‘system’ without regard for anything else, but not until then it seems. Enthusiasm and well detailed plans are nice, but no substitute for winning.
It isn’t like he was the only coach available after Haywood got fired. I’m sure PITT would have loved it if Chris Peterson from Boise State was interested. And we had Bradley who wanted the job and other more traditional coaches also – PITT chose Graham and his offense.
That is why we ‘give him a pass’. Because it is clear that he’s here because his team put up lots of points at Tulsa and we think he can do it here too. We also realize that for his offense to run as designed he needs to have personnel who are both suited for it, which he is recruiting for, and experienced in it, which a full season of camps, practices and games will do also.
As far as “Enthusiasm and well detailed plans are nice, but no substitute for winning” there is absolutely no guarantee that even if Graham had changed his offensive approach drastically we’d have any more wins then we do now. Remember – he started “simplifying” the offense before the USF game… the result… two wins and two debacles.
Look at it this way – the defense lost the Iowa game; the ND game was a close, hard fought loss to a rival and RU & Utah were the result of their DL & LBs being in our backfield as much as our running backs… having a WR who could actually catch a pass wouldn’t have hurt earlier this year either.
And this system helped Ray Graham to rack up 958 yards in seven games.
Hell, losing our two best OL and giving up 35 sacks in eight games hurt more then the change of systems. Having a QB who is the definition of Hot and Cold impacts also, the HC never know if Jekyll or Hyde is going to show up.
Remember – Graham inherited talent that won only seven games last regular season. It isn’t as if these kids were world beaters anyway and combined with a complete change in coaching staff it is understandable that we are having a rough road so far. IMO it may even have been just as disappointing a season had DW stayed and run the same program as he had in the past.
We are actually outscoring the 2010 team, 26.5 ppg to 26.3 ppg as hard as that may be to believe, so I think it is way too easy to point only to Graham and his offensive approach and say that is the reason we are losing games.
He seems to do better when he’s caught up in the physical act of playing QB rather than dropping back and having to think.
I was watching the Michigan game today, as they pounded Purdue, and one of the announcers said Brady Hoke wanted to install a pro-style offense and get back to more traditional Michigan-style “pounding” the other teams defense…but he couldn’t as he was left with DickRod’s spread option guys on offense and smaller lineman on both sides of the ball — and here’s the kicker! — so he therefore worked with what he had available and altered his plans to suit the talent on hand.
Oh yeah, Hoke is a first year coach who was far less ballyhooed than Graham…and he’s 7-1 now, challenging for the Big Ten title, and nationally ranked…and Michigan kinda sucked last year. That, my friend, is coaching.
Repeating one of my favorite football quotes from decades ago, from Bum Phillips of the Oilers on Chuck Noll: “He can take his’n and beat your’n, then take your’n and beat his’n.” Of course, this is lost on most ‘system’ guys.
He threw for 419 yards, yet we only scored 28 points. That’s not good. Uconn’s defense was pathetic, probably the worst one we played since Buffalo.
Again Western Michigan scored 38 points against Uconn and their QB threw for 479 yards and 5 TD’s.
And Geno Smith threw for 450 yards and 4 TD’s in scoring 43 points I believe, in a rout.
Sunseri played well, but again the competition wasn’t legit. Let me see it against a legit team.
It won’t happen because he can’t stretch the field vertically and why Uconn didn’t play a defensive scheme similar to Rutgers or Utah is mind boggling. Thanks Paul Pasqualoni. Maybe it helped that he’s a paisan. lol
EMel, we scored 35 points against UCONN. if you mean we only scored 28 points while Sunseri was playing that would be correct but remember he set that last TD up with an 18 yard pass to our H-Back.
I agree that what we saw out of Sunseri may have had more to do with UCONN then it did with Sunseri and that we won’t see the same level of production from this point out… that would be too much to ask. But, and this has been my contention all along, if the OL can do their job Sunseri can be effective. I just posted this on a message board:
Losing Jacobson and Nix was devastating to the offense mainly because Sunseri really can’t play effectively under pressure. I don’t know how UCONN game planned to have three sacks, I don’t believe the OL miraculously played great last game, but when he has less pressure he plays well. Here are his stats from those two games:
RU – 141 yds 0 TDs and 3 INTs sacked 6-50
UTAH – 38 yds 0 TDs and 0 INTs sacked 7-41
There is a direct correlation there.
But even more telling is when we look at the BCS Sunseri has played “well” in (Iowa, USF & UCONN) he was sacked an average of three times. Those he played poorly in he was sacked an average of six times. Big and dramatic difference really.
Losing our two senior OL and going with some very inexperienced kids sure is one of the reasons we lost some games.
We could come together and play well from here out – our defense is starting to pull their weight and we are still in the BE. But I’m not holding my breath for it.
Why is it that you continually espouse Myers playing over Anderson but never Myers over Sunseri? After all, Sunseri has sucked just as bad as Anderson did at times.
Could the reason be that Sunseri just put on a running and passing show that Myers might only dream about doing?
You also revert back to the wishing Myers was playing even though you must have seen with your own two eyes what Graham thinks about him as far as getting any substantial playing time.
Damn, even in a blow out win Graham puts in another kid to take snaps and throw TDs. Don’t you think that should convince you that Myers just isn’t in the plans for Graham?
Finally, who cares about what a player may do at the next level when discussing PITT football? We just went through six years where the PITT program was a great stepping stone to the NFL for players and what did that get us? No BE championships, a 7-5 regular season last year and a annual trip to the Beef O’Brady bowl.
We need kids who can contribute at the college level and play well for us now. If that is a 5’9″ Anderson so be it. If your 6’4″ strong arm QB can’t play well enough in the camps, scrimmages and practices to start – then let him get mop up duty and that only because there was an injury to that 5’9″ guy.
Man, we are eight games into a 12 game season and you are still on this old saw. Please just understand that no matter how much you want it to happen – it just isn’t going to.
BTW, he was also a two star, 132nd ranked QB, but keep those blinders on….
Sort of like, Bush must be right, Saddam has weapons of mass destruction and was involved in 9/11 vs hey, let’s not rush to war till we know what the hell is going on?
Yes, a bit dramatic but makes the point I think. Some people are sh@t a## afraid to question authority and some are not. Which one are youse?
Everyone else who is espousing Myers be given playing time are basing their opinions strictly on rating services – and selectively at that.
BTW WVU supposedly is in the Big 12 now again and SEC mistakenly put on their website last night Mizzo is the 14th member. Amateurs!