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October 14, 2009

At the same time I was just posting on Rutgers being a grudge game, Brian Bennett at ESPN.com echoes my post intro as to Rutgers to this point. He points out that Rutgers is an even bigger question mark than any other Big East team because of that schedule.

Now here are some reasons for skepticism.

While Savage has avoided turnovers, the passing game is nowhere near as productive as it was a year ago. Rutgers is seventh in the Big East with 181 passing yards per game, and Savage is completing just 56 percent of his passes. This will be his first Big East start.

The running game has put up decent numbers, but you would expect the Scarlet Knights to bulldoze weak FCS opponents like Texas Southern and Howard on the ground. Schiano says the running game lacks consistency. And no matter how good the stats are, there’s no getting around that they were compiled against wildly inferior teams.

The total offense for Rutgers is for 1821 yards through 5 games. 885 yards (48.6%) came against the 2 1-AA patsies. Really, that seems about in line given the badness of the opponents. The questions come in the running game. 915 total yards, but 498 (54.4%) came in those two games.

That means for a team that is breaking in a true freshman QB and wanting to minimize the pressure on him to make all the plays as he is still learning, the running game is needed. Especially for a QB that admits to holding the ball too long, facing the conference leading team in sacks. Yet, in three 1-A games the rushing totals were 50 (Cinci), 160 (FIU) and 207 (Maryland). No shock that as the running game goes, so goes the Rutgers offense.

Rutgers has also benefitted greatly from their strong turnover differential. Including three defensive TDs so far. To the tune of being second in the country in TO differential.

Of course, Rutgers is aware that they are about to take their own jump in challenges.

“Any competitor I’m sure wants to get back there (on the national stage),” Rutgers coach Greg Schiano said Sunday, a day after his club shut out Texas Southern, 42-0, at Rutgers Stadium. “The last time people saw us we were 0-1. Now we’re 4-1. Hopefully we can go out and play better Friday night. As long as we play our best, that’s all I’m concerned about.”

Whether Rutgers (4-1) is ready for its nationally televised Friday-night home affair with Pittsburgh (5-1) is anyone’s guess. Not even Schiano knows for sure.

“It doesn’t really matter what I think — it’s coming,” Schiano said of his team’s litmus test with Pitt. “We’re going to do everything we can to be ready to play Friday I don’t know where that will put us in relation to Pitt. We are a work in progress — there’s no doubt about it. We’re not where we need to be.”

Rutgers coach Schiano is going to do what he can to find a 3d WR.

Particularly at wide receiver, where the Scarlet Knights have been searching for a capable third receiver to slide in behind Tim Brown and Mohamed Sanu. Freshman defensive back Quron Pratt received a few looks at wideout, along with Julian Hayes and another freshman, Mark Harrison.

Still, Schiano felt that while some progress was made, it doesn’t mean he’s satisfied.

“Quron made a play, like I said (Saturday) night,” Schiano said. “Julian played well. Mark had a little playing time but he didn’t get an opportunity to (catch a pass)… We are a work in progress.”

Injuries to Marcus Cooper and Keith Stroud are part of the reason for the continuing search. Rutgers WR Tim Brown hasn’t forgotten his game last year against Pitt.

Tim Brown can’t remember exactly what plays worked and how they worked from last year’s 54-34 win over Pittsburgh, but he can remember one thing:

His stat line.

“Four for 132,” Brown said after Tuesday’s practice with a grin, before adding: “Two touchdowns.”

And Brown was the 3d WR last year. This year he’s the #1 option.





While I am much less optimistic than most here based on score predictions (I predicted a one point win for Pitt v UConn), I believe this is certainly the year to break the losing streak … even though history has shown that the host team on nationally televised Thursday and Friday night games are very successful.

I believe Pitt has enough senior leadership on both sides of the ball to withstand a fired-up team and crowd, but more importantly, I would expect that the 4th quarter comeback vs UConn to have a very positive and unifying effect.

Comment by wbb 10.14.09 @ 12:38 pm

I know that Brown had a career game last year, but he benifitted from Britt and Underwood drawing the attention their way. This year it’s him and not much else. Besides, he is even shorter than our DBs. I think we log in a solid win this week.
Hail To Pitt

Comment by Fear The Mustache 10.14.09 @ 12:46 pm

This is the kind of game to show exotic looks on the defensive front. That doesnt mean you have to rush everyone and allow deep completions that build the QB’s confidence. It does mean that we should try to mix it up early to really rattle this kid.

Comment by JoeyD 10.14.09 @ 1:33 pm

I didn’t get a chance to post sooner, but there are two things from the UConn game that I hope bode well for this game and the rest of the year:

1. Bill Stull was able to get his head back in the game after having about as miserable a stretch as possible. In the past, Stull has struggled to regain form after something bad happens – whether it was his doing or not. Stull deserves a lot of credit for not only playing well for the last 20 minutes, but really leading the offense. I still think Stull has a lot of physical limitations, but was happy to see him bounce back mentally. It was also nice to see that he has emerged as the clear leader of the offense.

2. I may be overly optimistic, but the way that Pitt won gave the feel that this may be a turning point of the season. As has been documented, they did a lot wrong, but the way they finished left me with the impression that maybe, just maybe, this group is just starting to understand how good they can be, and how they have to play to win.

Comment by Pantherman13 10.14.09 @ 2:09 pm

Pantherman… i agree with your number 2 point….i was getting that same feeling… and am really hoping that “woke” us up.

Comment by Snala the Panther 10.14.09 @ 3:01 pm

The editorial by Zeise (or whomever) above was the absolute BEST and most encouraging I’ve read since I graduated from Panther U. in 1953. Finally, it would appear, the Pgh. media is being objective with the home team. Keep it up –PLEASE. George from Columbus

Comment by rev. george mehaffey 10.14.09 @ 3:04 pm

What’s Berry’s status for the game, and is the game on ESPN?

Comment by ltl49 10.14.09 @ 4:00 pm

Don’t know anything regarding Berry. The game is on ESPN at 8 PM.

Comment by Omar 10.14.09 @ 4:20 pm

Just saw that the Big East has re-upped with the Car Care Bowl in Charlotte through 2013. They will have the third selection (behind BCS and Champs Sports). I’m not sure if the ACC will still be the opponent (did they re-up also?).

link to bigeast.org

Comment by Pantherman13 10.14.09 @ 4:57 pm

To answer my own question, per ESPN the Meineke Bowl will continue to be against an ACC team.

Comment by Pantherman13 10.14.09 @ 6:48 pm

Not that the last 4 years weren’t the year, but Pitt has more juju in the Rutgers game this year than at any time in recent memory.

As long as Wanny doesn’t game plan for the Rockne shift, Pitt should win by 2-3 TDs.

Comment by Spanky 10.14.09 @ 9:07 pm

Where’s the “Guess the score, win a Baldwin shirt” thread?

Comment by Jimbo Covert's my Dad 10.14.09 @ 9:44 pm

Where’s the “Guess the score, win a Buick” thread?

Comment by Spanky 10.14.09 @ 9:49 pm

Where’s the “Guess the score, win a Spaceship” thread?

Comment by Panthoor 10.14.09 @ 11:53 pm

itl49 and Omar – from this morning’s Tribune Review…

“Pitt’s secondary will be shorthanded. Senior Aaron Berry (shoulder) likely will be sidelined and free safety Elijah Fields (ankle) is day-to-day. If they can’t play, redshirt freshman safety Jarred Holley and redshirt junior cornerback Ricky Gary will see added action.”

Could be an interesting evening… I think they come out throwing again.

Comment by Reed 10.15.09 @ 4:02 am

at least they won’t have Teel, Underwood and Britt (1st rounder) who are all in the NFL this year. Their freshman QB has all of the tools but have yet to face a decent defense (especially a good front 4). Match-ups seem to favor us …but we’ll see.

Comment by wbb 10.15.09 @ 8:13 am

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