I think I would prefer more doubters like Grant Wahl at SI.com.
Bracket buster: Oral Roberts. Scott Sutton‘s 13th-seeded Golden Eagles are playing in their third-consecutive NCAA tournament, and they’re blessed with more size than any other low- to mid-major, going 6-8, 6-9 and 6-10 on their starting front line. They will be taller up front than first-round foe Pittsburgh, which is riding high after its Big East tourney title, but for this game in Denver I’m predicting a repeat of what happened the last time Pitt went out west for the NCAAs and got knocked off in the first round (by Pacific in Boise in 2005).
Instead, it’s mostly positive stuff about Pitt.
SI.com: Who has the hardest road?
SD: Memphis, no doubt about it. Pittsburgh won four games in four days at the Big East tournament … clearly, with Levance Fields back, that’s a different team. Memphis will have to get past Pitt, then past Texas in Houston, where Texas has a home-court advantage — it will be burnt orange wall-to-wall.
Seth Davis also thought Pitt should have been a 3 seed.
What Pitt did in the Big East Tournament seems to have inflated lots of expectations. Bobby Knight isn’t the only one willing to predict Pitt in the Final Four.
Instead, I’m going with No. 4 seed Pittsburgh, which just battled through the Big East tournament to win the title at Madison Square Garden. The Panthers will bump free throw phobic Memphis and then Texas, if things play out according to my bracket plan, to join the three remaining top seeds in San Antonio. North Carolina, the top overall seed, takes UCLA in a classic title game.
While not predicting Pitt to win the South, Pitt is the “darkhorse” to come out of the bracket.
So how about Pittsburgh? A fourth seed isn’t that big of a dark horse, granted, but nobody from seeds 5-16 has a chance in this region.
Pitt is the hot “darkhorse” or “sleeper” team right now.
The Panthers are seeded No. 4, which is startling considering that they entered the Big East tournament last week as a No. 7 seed. But it would be hard to find a hotter team in the country than the Panthers, who became the second team in Big East tournament history to win four games in four nights. (A note of caution: the last team to do it, Syracuse in 2006, lost in the first round of the N.C.A.A. tournament.)
But the reason to be high on these Panthers is that they are finally healthy after the starting point guard Levance Fields came back from a broken foot. Sam Young has emerged as one of the country’s best players, and the freshman big man DaJuan Blair is no longer playing like a freshman.
I hate being the sexy pick. I’m not saying I want Pitt to be the team everyone is predicting to flame out in the first round, but it is a little too much. I worry about the players reading too many press clippings.
This breakdown of the 1st round game, is pretty good. And not just because they go with Pitt.
Pittsburgh game plan: The Panthers will look to wear down the Golden Eagles with their efficient offense. Though not an especially high-scoring team, Pitt can push the ball to negate ORU’s defensive style, create mismatches in transition and ultimately tire out the Golden Eagles. Also, forwards Sam Young and DeJuan Blair must establish themselves on the glass.
Oral Roberts game plan: ORU wins with defense – it held opponents to 39.7 percent field-goal shooting this season. It has a pair of shot blockers in Shawn King and Yemi Ogunoye and quick-footed guards who make teams work for every point. By slowing things down, ORU might keep the game close enough at the end for guard Robert Jarvis to take over.
Jarvis generally comes off the bench, but is their leading scorer.
This story from the Tulsa paper has the Golden Eagles poor mouthing their chances.
“They’re athletic, they play hard and they play great as a team. There’s no one man. You can’t just stop one man and expect to win,” said ORU senior guard Yemi Ogunoye. “They’re playing great toward the end of the season. They’ve got all the confidence in the world right now. It’s gonna be tough for us to come out and win. Everything has to be be on that night for us,” Ogunoye said.
But it was hard to dampen the Eagles’ enthusiasm after receiving their highest seed in their three consecutive years of qualifying in the tournament.
“We’re making progress,” said senior guard Moses Ehambe. “Two years ago, a 16 seed. Last year, 14, and now a 13. So we’re taking steps up. Pittsburgh is a physical team, but I believe if we go out there and play hard and play our signature (defense), we’ll be all right.”
Worth noting that ORU is a bad free throw shooting team. Only 67%. Granted I would kill for that after what Pitt did in the last couple games of the BET, but I’m hoping the team is over those yips.
Here’s another capsule collection of the teams.
Finally a couple of the Colorado papers look at the teams coming to Denver here and here. Nothing too important.
Pitt lost 4 of their last 6 games, got bounced out of the BET in the first round by Villanova, and basically limped into the tournament as a 9 seed.
They traveled out west with a 6 foot 10 sophomore center who was more concerned with throwing his hat into the NBA than anything, and except for Krauser in the second half, played uninspired.
This current Pitt team is on a 5 game winning streak, and just tore through the BET.
Yet Wahl predicts a “repeat” of 2005??
Has anyone else heard anything?
Look at Krauser and Gray. They both arguably hurt their draft stock by coming back for their senior years. Its not guaranteed that Young’s stock will rise by coming back next year.
I hope he leads a great tournament run and goes out on top.
He’s only about 6’6”, so he won’t play down low, he’s not going to run around and create is own shot, and he’s not going to be able to take people off the dribble against those kind of athletes because his handle is so weak … I hope he can prove me wrong but I just think he still needs a lot of work
ESPN has a link to Accuscore supercomputer that does the tourney game by game (per bracket).
So I thought what the hell give it a try…
well guess what Pitt won the National Championship.
My jaw dropped…here’s hoping my first simulation plays out.
Oh for those of you who want to try it out for fun
btw I don’t think its a supercomputer at all…I think it is Bobby Knight behind that curtain 😉
DaveD
Any definite?