Greg Lee won’t get drafted until Day 2 of the NFL Draft. Of that, I feel fairly confident. The more I have thought about it, the more I think he didn’t really make a mistake coming out early.

He wasn’t going to get much faster. His route running would stay consistent. The only issue with Lee is holding on to the football and/or focusing. Sad to say, I don’t think that would have changed much if he stayed.

Lee said a lot of factors contributed to his decision, but the biggest two probably were economics and the pool of receivers in the draft. This year is not considered to be a very strong year for receivers, and the crop next year is projected to be considerably stronger.

“There is a small group, maybe two or three, big-time receivers, and then there is a larger group of receivers a lot like Greg right behind them,” said Joe Butler of Metro Index scouting camps. “With that second group, it all comes down to what a team is looking for in a player as to who they pick, so it is hard to say how high or low any of them will go.”

Lee said, “that right there — the other receivers in the draft — really played a lot into my decision. I feel like I am as good as any of those guys and I feel like I proved that at the combine.”

Most analysts and scouts don’t agree with him.

Former Cowboys general manager Gil Brandt, now an analyst for NFL.Com, doesn’t rank Lee among the top 15 receivers in the draft, and Scouts Inc. has him listed as the 18th-best receiver, five spots below Penn State’s Michael Robinson, who played quarterback most of his career.

Unlike the NBA draft where if you’re in a pool like that, you have a good chance of being drafted higher because there always seems to be one NBA GM who will rank something about the player higher and take the chance. The NFL draft is generally more rigid in its settings and there aren’t many reaches — definitely not many big reaches.