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January 12, 2006

DePaul – Pitt

Filed under: Uncategorized — Chas @ 8:28 pm

Open thread for the before during and after the game.

Assorted

Filed under: Uncategorized — Chas @ 3:24 pm

So, the Big East announces that the Big East Basketball Tournament is fully sold out for the first time, ever. By that, they mean the member schools have purchased all of the ticket packages, and there will be no general sales from Madison Square Garden.

Go figure. There are 16 teams purchasing tickets. Even schools that know they won’t be qualifying for the BET — USF and Seton Hall — are going to buy ticket packages to sell to their students and alum. If they don’t sell them, they can always make them available to others (and maybe at a nice mark-up). Hard to be that impressed.

Last week, I got on my typical commentary about weak non-con schedules. Ken Pomeroy actually goes a little deeper (ESPN Insider) based on the criticisms of Louisville and UConn’s home-heavy non-con being responsible for some surprising and big losses.

Out of these two events has sprung some criticism of each team’s schedule. The criticism is grounded in a theory that says prolonged stretches in the comfort of one’s home arena(s) against lesser opponents create teams that are not prepared to handle a decent opponent on the road. To further bolster this idea, realize that neither Kentucky nor Marquette look like it will be ranked anytime soon (although Kentucky was when it beat Louisville), so these double-digit losses seem especially out of place for two teams expected to be playing well into March.

Anyway, theories are fun, but it’s more fun to see how they stand up to some objective analysis. This one isn’t particularly easy to attack, but closer scrutiny of what has taken place this season, and in recent seasons, provides some insight.

Pomeroy sees some short-term problems. There are a lot of losses immediately after extended home stands, but the long-term outlook is not much of a problem.

That said, it appears there is a more definitive “no” on the second question of potential long-term effects. The 2003-04 UConn team went on to win the national championship. Syracuse had a similar schedule the season before, and also won the title.

In fact, when it comes to the benefit of a tough schedule, the conference portion has more importance. The last time a team from a one-bid conference made it to the Final Four was UNLV in 1987. This could have implications for Memphis and Gonzaga teams that could be feasting on relative cupcakes for the month or two before the NCAA Tournament.

So while the weak non-con may hurt the RPI and Tournament Seeding (which is an issue regarding match-ups and how close to home you play), it would not appear to be quite so crucial. Not that pundits will give up their cliches and easy explanations regarding non-con schedule. It will be a cold day in hell before terms like “battle-tested” or blaming a loss to a good team in March on beating up on crap teams in November.

Over at SI.com, Luke Winn moves Pitt to #12 in the power ratings, but doesn’t expect Pitt to remain undefeated by the end of their hell week.

If things get ugly for the Panthers next week — when they enter a stretch of four games in nine days (with three straight on the road) — they can put part of the blame on ESPN.

He read the article about the schedule shifting and went with it.

Big East Basketball Blog previews tonight’s game, and picks Pitt. This despite DePaul winning some fairly impressive road games at Wake Forest, Dayton, and Cal. Why? Match-ups and style.

Pittsburgh does have to like the match-up with DePaul as the Blue Demons do not shoot the ball very well from beyond the arc (just 31.9% on the season), they do not rebound very well and they will likely be without a strong offensive post presence to challenge Aaron Gray defensively. Although, they might get the services of Wesley Green back, but it would be on a very limited basis for this game if they do. Green would be the offensive threat that would force Gray to work a little harder on defensive and could get him in to a little foul trouble.

DePaul does have Sammy Mejia, a 6’5 junior guard who is averaging 15.6 PPG, 5 rebounds and 2.5 assists a game and has an excellent mid-range game. This is the type of player that can also give the Panthers some trouble as they do seem to lack a big guard that can defend physically at this point in time.

Mejia or bust, then.

Have To Win The “Easy” Ones

Filed under: Uncategorized — Chas @ 8:01 am

No, DePaul isn’t a pushover or a gimmee, but I happen to agree with this:

This is a huge game for Pitt.

Not because of any deep-rooted rivalry with DePaul. The two teams actually haven’t faced the each other since 1936 and most Panthers players probably couldn’t tell you which city the DePaul campus is in.

But because the national media so badly wants a piece of the Big East action, Pitt has been forced to rearrange its schedule to accommodate the television networks. As a result, after playing DePaul on Thursday night, Pitt will play three straight road games before hosting Syracuse in a game that will be its fourth in a nine-day span.

That means the undefeated Panthers need a win at home while they’re fresh, before the schedule puts the squeeze on them. They come into this game on a week’s rest, whereas DePaul played on Saturday.

You can’t help but peek ahead and see that Louisville game, then going to the RAC to play Rutgers and then back to NY/NJ to play St. John’s — where Pitt with it’s large NYC-based players always seem to press and struggle. Add in Syracuse at the end, and it is a very draining and rocky point about to hit.

Of course, now it’s time to re-focus on winning the game in front of Pitt. With Pitt’s extended lay-off, the game tonight has more of the feel of really starting the second half of the season. For DePaul after starting conference play against Cinci and ND, this is really their first game against the unknown teams of the Big East.

The Big East season begins tonight at No. 12 Pittsburgh for DePaul — or at least the “feel” of the Big East.

“I don’t think we’ve had a full sense of the Big East yet because we’ve played teams we’ve played before,” junior guard Sammy Mejia said of games against Cincinnati and Notre Dame. “This will be the break-in point for the Big East. It’s a totally new team we’ve never played.”

What the Blue Demons (8-5, 1-1) do know about the undefeated Panthers (12-0, 1-0) is enough to warrant respect.

“We know they’re like Cincinnati in that they like to body up and overwhelm you with their physical play, and they have a senior guard [6-2 Carl Krauser] who is very good,” Mejia said.

DePaul coach Jerry Wainwright called Krauser “the most dominant player in this game,” an experienced leader averaging 17.6 points after forgoing thoughts of turning professional early.

“You like to think Sam will be that for our team,” Wainwright said.

The 6-6 Mejia has earned high respect from his new coach — not as the team’s scoring leader, as expected, but as its new go-to defender. That means Krauser is likely to be Mejia’s assignment as the Demons enter the Petersen Events Center, where the Panthers have lost five league games in the last four seasons.

They also have their own NY player who is looking forward to the game and style. Kerron Clarke, a transfer from Miami.

“I’m from New York, so basketball is always [played] tough,” he said. “It’s the type of basketball everyone should want to play.”

Just what fans of a team in Chicago want to hear about their style — not as tough as NY.

Since Pitt is one of 3 remaining undefeated teams, there is increased focus and questions on that issue.

Nobody’s mentioning what many are thinking around the Pitt basketball camp these days.

In the same way that it’s bad form to talk to a pitcher about his no-hitter in the fifth inning, with more than half of the Panthers’ regular-season schedule remaining, it’s probably too early to focus on the subject of an unbeaten season.

But it is interesting to note that only a handful of Division I men’s basketball teams have ever conquered their regular-season schedule without a loss. Not long ago, the 2003-04 Pitt squad — the third of three consecutive Sweet 16 teams — won its first 18 games before falling to Connecticut in mid-January.

“That’s not even on our minds,” Pitt guard Ronald Ramon said.

Um, I think someone must have mentioned it.

“Right now, we’re not looking to go undefeated,” Pitt center Aaron Gray said. “If we do lose, one of the things that’s going to determine how good this team is, is how we come back and how the guys respond. I feel we’re ready.

“We easily could have lost that game to Notre Dame,” Gray said, referring to the Panthers’ 100-97, double-overtime victory in its most recent game eight days ago Jan. 4. “The way the young guys played, it just shows they’re not going to give up. We don’t want to lose. If we do, it’ll add fuel to the fire.”

Again, if no one is mentioning it, why are Pitt players answering questions about it?

“Obviously, you want to be No. 1 and stay undefeated, so that’s your goal,” Pitt redshirt junior forward Levon Kendall said. “But it’s something you try not to get too caught up on because anything can happen.

“Look at Connecticut, they got a little bit overconfident, and Marquette snuck up on them, and that’s something you have to recognize in the Big East. There are so many good teams that it’s a challenge every night.”

Kendall and Gray need to discuss their talking points.

One area of concern for Pitt is the same area of concern that has been there since Ralph Willard was fired. Free throw shooting. And as it has been, Coach Jamie Dixon is publicly stating he is not concerned.

“We’re shooting better,” Dixon said. “Our percentage is high. We’re just short of 70 percent, which is middle of the pack in the Big East. That’s higher than we’ve been.

“I thought we’d be better this year, and we are. Every year, we have improved as the year has gone on. We’ve always been better in the conference games. I think this will be the best free-throw-shooting team we have had since I’ve been here.”

Pitt is shooting 68.6 percent from the line this season entering the home game tonight against DePaul at the Petersen Events Center. That ranks Pitt 12th in the 16-team Big East. And, believe it or not, that modest percentage, if maintained the rest of the season, would represent Pitt’s best percentage from the line since 1998-99, the final season under former coach Ralph Willard.

Pitt’s best free-throw percentage during the Ben Howland/Dixon era was 65.9 percent last season.

And as always, others are much more concerned.

For some inexplicable reason, the Panthers still can’t shoot foul shots. That was highlighted when they clanked their way down the stretch of last week’s win over Notre Dame. As the Irish were popping 3-pointer and off-balance 3-pointer, Pitt went 7 of 10 from the line at the end of regulation, then 3 of 8 in the final minute of the first overtime.

Because the score in the second overtime stayed rather tight, the Panthers only attempted two free throws in the final two minutes. Of course, they missed one of them.

Even Krauser, a usually solid foul shooter, has fallen to 69.9 percent this season. Only Ramon (84.6) shoots better than 80 percent.

In the past, I’ve said poor foul shooting could cost the Panthers wins, and it has.

This season, I’ll guarantee it will at least once.

I know in the past I’ve blown my top at Pitt for missing free throws and Coach Dixon’s public statements of non-concern. Watching missed free throws is akin to a kicker going wide right on a 30 yard field goal. It’s maddening and there doesn’t seem to be any excuse for it.

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