Last week, I broke down how to win the Big East for 4 teams. I excluded USF because they had only played 2 BE games. Mistake. They actually are the only team aside from WVU that can win the BE without help.
WVU and USF presently hold tie-breakers if finishing with the same record over Louisville and Rutgers.
Rutgers and Louisville hold a tie-breaker over Pitt.
Pitt holds a tie-breaker over USF.
I’m not going to bother with potential 3-way (or more) ties because that would then fall to BCS rankings to decide who goes to the BCS game
Big East Standings and Games Remaining
WVU 4-0 (Cinci, Pitt, @USF)
USF 2-1 (@ Syr, Cinci, @ UConn, ,WVU)
RU 3-2 (@ L-ville, Cinci)
Pitt 3-2 (UConn, @ WVU)
L-ville 2-2 (RU, Syr, @ UConn)
What Each Team Needs To Do And Have Happen
WVU: They have the easiest path. Control of their own destiny and crap.
Win out
Win 2 of 3, including USF
Win 2 of 3, losing to USF but USF loses at least one more game
Lose 2 of 3, but beating USF and Pitt loses to UConn
(It can get more absurd, but I think the point is made.)
USF: They do control their own destiny, but with less room for error than WVU.
Win out
Win 3 of 4 including WVU and WVU loses one additional game as does Pitt
Pitt: Lots of help needed, as everyone must lose.
Win last 2 and have WVU, RU, L-ville and USF all lose at least one additional game
RU and L-ville: The exact same path, so the match-up this Friday pretty much ends one team’s very outside hope.
Win out, while WVU goes on an 0-3 skid and USF goes 2-2.
Bottome line, the WVU-USF game in December could be winner takes all.