My friends, and probably many long-time readers of this blog know I love numbers and stats. Matt of Orange 44 runs the Pythagora records for Big East teams, to see which teams are overachieving and which teams are under achieving (and by how much).
Pythagora records are best done with larger sample sizes — and are not as well applied to football as to baseball because of it. Still it can be illustrating. Here’s how the formula works:
Expected Wins = G * PF2 / (PF2 + PA2)
G= games; PF= points for; PA = points against
5.1 = 8*2102 / (2102 + 1562)
Pitt is underachieving by one game, which seems about right. Their Pythagora record says 5-3.
Click over to find out which team is the biggest overachiever and underachiever this year. It might surprise you.